WASHINGTON, D.C. — The presumptive presidential
candidates came to the 79th annual League of
United Latin American Citizens Convention with a
clear hope: Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama
need the Latino vote to win in November.
Someone, somewhere, told them that it would be
next to impossible to occupy the White House
without the approval of the country's fastest
growing ethnic group (both candidates alluded to
the fact)
By all
indications last Tuesday, both candidates
believed it.
Set
aside the idea that it is mathematically
possible to win the presidency without a single
Latino vote, and ignore the fact that the Latino
community is a culture not an ethnicity, and you
have to admit that the McCain and Obama presence
at the LULAC convention is impressive.
Four
years ago, President Bush claimed he needed 40
percent of the Latino vote to be re-elected. The
faulty statistical result of exit polls that
year showed he got about 44 percent. The
reality, without the numerical acrobatics used
to get the official result, is that Bush got
close to 35 percent of the Latino vote. The
point implied but never made that year was that
Latino voters are a big piece of the electoral
strategy and an important variable of the vote
calculus in presidential politics.
So
McCain and Obama came to Washington to woo the
membership of the oldest Latino organization in
the country. And by the standards of appropriate
courtship, they both did a good job. McCain was
received with polite applause and courteous
attention.
Truth be
told, he's not a crowd-rousing orator, but he
touched on all the right issues and smoothly
sidestepped the topics that have the potential
to trap him in an uncomfortable corner. He
emphasized the troubled economy with a good mix
of sympathy and outrage, and pointed to the
strength of small business entrepreneurs as an
integral part of the solution. He tugged at
Latinos' deep sense of patriotism and national
pride, signaling that he understood the truth
about their feelings for their country.
On
immigration, he moved back to the center and
assured the audience that he had been a
proponent of a comprehensive immigration reform
all along. He sounded well-studied on Latino
health care and education, and his audience was
appreciative. In fact, the audience seemed
genuinely grateful for his appearance at the
convention, and lingered afterward for a chance
to shake his hand and snap a photo.
Obama's
speech later that afternoon was another of his
signature audience-stirring deliveries. He's a
much better speechifier than McCain, and he and
his opponent both know it.
That may
be why McCain repeatedly challenges Obama to a
town hall meeting; McCain does better in a cozy,
informal setting; it also gives him the
opportunity to imply that his opponent is
avoiding a direct confrontation on the issues.
And, as expected, Obama roused the crowd into
chants and cheers; any claim that Latinos may be
averse to voting for a black candidate was
dispelled by the crowd's reaction. But beyond
his skill at speaking from a podium, Obama did
well to touch on points that resonated
throughout the room. To a hall filled with
activists, he spoke of his beginnings as a
community organizer, and he was careful to
position himself in the light of personal
understanding.
Like
McCain, he pointed to the energy of small
business as a major leverage in a tough economy.
And he spoke to the issues of employment,
education and health care as one who's spent
time in the community trenches. He addressed
immigration knowing that he spoke to a room
where the issue is sensitive; he also called for
comprehensive reform and a sensible path to
citizenship. Obama understands his courtship of
the Latino vote begins with gaining their trust,
and his speech at the LULAC convention was a
clear effort in that direction.
The
winners at the end of the day were the hundreds
of LULAC members who made the pilgrimage to the
nation's capitol and for a week discussed the
issues that affect them most. Their meeting with
the candidates was a true slice of American
politics, and it's been a long time coming.
vlanda@sbcglobal.net
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